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Overview

Viet Nam is a remarkable development success story. Economic reforms since the launch of ??i M?i in 1986, coupled with favorable global trends, helped transform Viet Nam from one of the world¡¯s poorest countries to a middle-income economy in a single generation. Real GDP per capita soared from less than $700 in 1986 to almost $4,500 in 2023 (in constant 2023 dollars), and the share of the population living on less than $3.65/day (in 2017 purchasing power parity) plummeted from 14 percent in 2010 to less than 4 percent in 2023. GDP grew by 7.1 percent in 2024. It is forecast to moderate to 5.8 percent in 2025 due to increased trade policy uncertainty before a modest rebound to 6.1 percent in 2026.

Health outcomes and living standards have improved significantly over the past 30 years. Infant mortality rates fell from 32.6 per 1,000 live births in 1993 to 12.1 in 2023, and life expectancy rose from 70.5 years in 1990 to 74.5 years in 2023. Viet Nam¡¯s universal health coverage index increased from 31 in 2000 to 68 in 2021, aligning with the global average. As of 2023, 93 percent of the population is covered by the national health insurance scheme.

Viet Nam achieved universal primary education in the early 2000s, with a net enrollment rate above 98 percent. Lower-secondary enrollment reached 95 percent and upper-secondary enrollment 80 percent in 2024. Viet Nam¡¯s learning-adjusted schooling averages 10.2 years, second only to Singapore in ASEAN, and its human capital index is the highest among lower-middle-income economies. However, tertiary education faces challenges. The gross enrollment rate is only 30¨C35 percent, with limited capacity, uneven quality, and a skills mismatch with labor market demands. While top universities have improved, smaller institutions face outdated curricula and limited resources

Access to infrastructure services has increased dramatically. As of 2019, almost 100 percent of the population used electricity as its main source of lighting, up from just 14 percent in 1993. Access to clean water in rural areas also improved, rising from 17 percent in 1993 to 51 percent in 2020.

Viet Nam aspires to become a high-income country by 2045. Doing so will require an average annual per capita economic growth of about 6 percent for the next 20 years, which would more than triple income per capita. Viet Nam also aims to grow in a greener, more inclusive way. At COP27, it pledged to reduce methane emissions by 30 percent, halt deforestation by 2030, and achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

Several megatrends are shaping Viet Nam¡¯s future. The population is rapidly aging, global trade is declining, automation is increasing, environmental degradation is worsening, and climate change is posing a greater threat than ever. To address these challenges, Viet Nam needs to improve its policy implementation, particularly finance, the environment, digital transformation, poverty reduction, social protection, and low-carbon infrastructure. Adapting to climate impacts and pursuing a growth strategy that steers the economy away from carbon-intensive production will help Viet Nam achieve its climate objectives while expanding GDP to achieve high-income status by 2045.

Last Updated: May 9, 2025

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Hanoi, Vietnam
63 Ly Thai To Street
+84 243-934-6600
Washington D.C., USA
1818 H Street NW
+1 202-473-4709